Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Caen had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0) 
