Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenoble win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Caen had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grenoble win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grenoble in this match.