Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dijon would win this match.
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