Ligue 2 | Gameweek 17
Dec 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Valenciennes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.01%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.12%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.
| Result |
| Bastia | Draw | Valenciennes |
38.01% ( 0.49) | 31.15% ( -0.06) | 30.83% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 38.79% ( 0.05) |
| 31.18% ( 0.1) | 68.82% ( -0.1) |
| 13.53% ( 0.07) | 86.47% ( -0.06) |
| 64.89% ( 0.38) | 35.11% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.14% ( 0.39) | 71.86% ( -0.39) |
| 59.78% ( -0.27) | 40.22% ( 0.27) |
