SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Caen |
34.43% ( 0.05) | 29.22% ( 0.01) | 36.36% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.41% ( -0.04) | 62.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.83% ( -0.03) | 82.17% ( 0.03) |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.02) | 34.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.18% ( 0.02) | 70.82% ( -0.02) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.06) | 32.85% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.07) | 69.42% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.36% |
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