Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Grenoble had a probability of 16.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Grenoble win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.