SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris FC | Draw | Metz |
45.68% ( 0.73) | 26.97% ( 0.43) | 27.34% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.28% ( -2.18) | 56.72% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.33% ( -1.78) | 77.67% ( 1.78) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.61) | 24.77% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( -0.86) | 59.34% ( 0.86) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( -2.09) | 36.27% ( 2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% ( -2.18) | 73.05% ( 2.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris FC | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.68% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.73)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.2)Other @ 1.9% Total : 27.34% |
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