Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
