Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Niort had a probability of 12.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.
