SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Pau had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Pau |
61.25% ( -0.61) | 22.79% ( 0.23) | 15.95% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% ( -0.26) | 52.83% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( -0.22) | 74.45% ( 0.22) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( -0.3) | 16.83% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.54) | 46.83% ( 0.54) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.11% ( 0.36) | 45.88% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.37% ( 0.28) | 81.63% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Pau |
| 1-0 @ 13.76% 2-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.95% |
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