Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.26) 
