Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
0.01) 
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