Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.4) 
