Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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