Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.04) 
