Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
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