Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.05) 
