Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
1.21) 
-1.3) 
