Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Quevilly would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
