Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
0.87) 
-0.19) 
