Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
