Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 44.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nimes in this match.