Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Nimes	Draw	Saint-Etienne
30.52% ( 1.08)	25.86% ( -0.03)	43.62% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 53.13% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.1% (

0.61)

50.9% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.22% (

0.54)

72.78% (

-0.54)

Nimes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

1.09)

30.8% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

1.27)

67.07% (

-1.27)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

-0.23)

23.22% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87% (

-0.35)

57.13% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Nimes 30.52%

Saint-Etienne 43.62%

Draw 25.86%

Nimes	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.52%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86%	0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.62%