Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 71.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.