Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Pau had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.45%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Pau
57.48%	26.09%	16.43%

Both teams to score 37.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.82%

63.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.41%

82.59%

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73%

22.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.28%

55.72%

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.55%

51.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.36%

85.64%

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 57.47%

Pau 16.43%

Draw 26.07%

Ajaccio	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 17.2% 2-0 @ 12.92% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 4.3% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.47%	0-0 @ 11.45% 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.34% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 7.62% 1-2 @ 3.8% 0-2 @ 2.53% Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.43%