SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Pau had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
26.48% ( 0.04) | 24.37% ( -0.06) | 49.14% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% ( 0.27) | 46.93% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% ( 0.25) | 69.18% ( -0.26) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.18) | 31.73% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.84% ( 0.2) | 68.15% ( -0.21) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( 0.11) | 19.15% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.2% ( 0.18) | 50.8% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.14% |
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