SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bastia |
51.66% ( 1.51) | 24.43% ( -0.69) | 23.91% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( 2.09) | 49.33% ( -2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( 1.85) | 71.38% ( -1.85) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 1.44) | 19.08% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.31% ( 2.32) | 50.68% ( -2.32) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0.42) | 35.18% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.07% ( 0.44) | 71.93% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.91% |
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