Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Bastia
51.66% ( 1.51)	24.43% ( -0.69)	23.91% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 52.45% (

1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

2.09)

49.33% (

-2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

1.85)

71.38% (

-1.85)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.92% (

1.44)

19.08% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.31% (

2.32)

50.68% (

-2.32)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82% (

0.42)

35.18% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07% (

0.44)

71.93% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 51.65%

Bastia 23.91%

Draw 24.43%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.65%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.91%