Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Quevilly would win this match.
