Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.2%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.
