Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
