Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
