Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 49.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
