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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
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Nantes
1 - 1
St Etienne

Blas (23' pen.)
Blas (36'), Augustin (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hamouma (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions
Last Game: St Etienne 1-1 Auxerre (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1 Playoffs

We said: Nantes 2-2 Saint-Etienne

Too many times in recent weeks, Les Verts have stormed into a lead only to then give away numerous goals - they score a fair few, but they tend to concede at least as many. Even with Nantes coasting to the end of the season, we can see that being the case again here and so are backing a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NantesDrawSaint-Etienne
59.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 21.27%19.14%
Both teams to score 55.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)41.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23%63.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.58%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71%35.28% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96%72.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 59.59%
    Saint-Etienne 19.14%
    Draw 21.27%
NantesDrawSaint-Etienne
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 9.55%
3-1 @ 6.64%
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 3.32%
4-0 @ 3.19%
4-2 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.18%
0-1 @ 4.97%
0-2 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 19.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, May 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 7 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Nantes
Saturday, April 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 5-3 Bordeaux
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Nantes
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-2 Reims
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 4-2 St Etienne
Wednesday, May 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 St Etienne
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 1-4 Monaco
Saturday, April 23 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 2-2 St Etienne
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 2-1 Brest
Saturday, April 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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