Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.37) 
