Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
-0.4) 
0.53) 
