Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
1.14) 
-0.27) 
