Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.