Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Niort had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Niort win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Le Havre in this match.
-0.81) 
0.45) 
