Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.29) 
