Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 43.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
0.32) 
-0.1) 
