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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 27, 2024 at 3am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
CR

LA Galaxy
5 - 0
Colorado

Joveljic (32', 75'), Nelson (52'), Puig (54', 87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Navarro (37'), Cannon (40'), Abubakar (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-2 Colorado
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Colorado Rapids

These two sides are loaded with talented attacking players who throw caution to the wind, so we expect a few high-quality scoring opportunities for each, and in a game like that, the Galaxy should prevail, given the array of talent they have at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 60.14%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.84% and a draw had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.14%) and 3-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (4.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawColorado Rapids
60.14% (1.938 1.94) 18.02% (-0.663 -0.66) 21.84% (-1.275 -1.28)
Both teams to score 73.22% (0.824 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.6% (1.655 1.66)21.4% (-1.657 -1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.93% (2.268 2.27)40.06% (-2.27 -2.27)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64% (0.877 0.88)7.36% (-0.879 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.44% (2.243 2.24)26.55% (-2.244 -2.24)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.14099999999999 0.14)20.97% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.219 0.22)53.72% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 60.14%
    Colorado Rapids 21.84%
    Draw 18.02%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 5.58% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 4.66% (0.278 0.28)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 4.03% (-0.315 -0.32)
4-2 @ 3.64% (0.232 0.23)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.166 0.17)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.244 0.24)
5-2 @ 1.9% (0.198 0.2)
4-3 @ 1.89% (0.129 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.151 0.15)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.147 0.15)
5-3 @ 0.99% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 60.14%
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-1 @ 6.29% (-0.464 -0.46)
3-3 @ 2.9% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 1.54% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.02%
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-1 @ 2.41% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Austin
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-2 Colorado
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Colorado
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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