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Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
AU

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Atlanta

Martinez (59' pen., 75')
Cremaschi (24'), Ruiz (71')
Negri (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gutman (90+2')
Lennon (48'), Sanchez (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United

Inter Miami's form has picked up as of late, while Atlanta United's has dropped off, so we think the most likely result is a draw. Games involving Atlanta have generally included a lot of goals, so it would not be a surprise if it is an end-to-end encounter, with both teams getting on the scoresheet.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
36.92% (-1.311 -1.31) 24.77% (0.348 0.35) 38.31% (0.961 0.96)
Both teams to score 58.58% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-1.68 -1.68)44.61% (1.677 1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-1.643 -1.64)66.97% (1.641 1.64)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-1.44 -1.44)23.83% (1.437 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-2.109 -2.11)58.01% (2.108 2.11)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)23.1% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.378 -0.38)56.95% (0.376 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 36.92%
    Atlanta United 38.31%
    Draw 24.76%
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.389 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.513 0.51)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.334 0.33)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.31%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-3 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 23 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 6-1 Atlanta
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer


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