The Rapids have some solid chemistry along the backline and should make it difficult for St Louis to find many openings, but this expansion team have been relentless in the press throughout the campaign and made the most out of their half chances, something which we believe will tip the scales in their favour.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
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