SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.35% ( -0.01) | 21.5% ( 0.01) | 20.14% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.91% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.05% ( -0.01) | 40.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.66% ( -0.01) | 63.34% ( 0.02) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( -0.01) | 13.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.94% ( -0.02) | 41.05% ( 0.02) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0) | 34.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( 0) | 70.69% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.35% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.14% |
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