SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Atlanta United |
44.88% ( -0.02) | 24.04% ( -0) | 31.08% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( 0.01) | 42.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% ( 0.01) | 65.02% ( -0.01) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0) | 19.19% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( -0.01) | 50.88% ( 0.01) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( 0.02) | 26.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% ( 0.02) | 61.4% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.08% |
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