SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
57.24% ( 2.83) | 21.66% ( -0.91) | 21.1% ( -1.92) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.68% ( 1.81) | 40.32% ( -1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.3% ( 1.84) | 62.7% ( -1.83) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( 1.53) | 13.9% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.67% ( 2.93) | 41.33% ( -2.93) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -0.72) | 32.72% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( -0.81) | 69.27% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.39)3-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.36)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.2)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.27% Total : 57.24% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.38% Total : 21.11% |
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