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Major League Soccer
May 7, 2022 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
CF
Atlanta
4 - 1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Atlanta vs. Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-0 Chicago Fire

Neither side are in good form at the moment, but we expect that home field will tip the scales in the favour of Atlanta. The Fire should be a tough team to break down defensively once again, however they invite a lot of pressure into their third of the field, and we expect the Five Stripes to eventually find a way to score and end their current winless skid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
67.16%19.04%13.8%
Both teams to score 51.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72%41.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64%11.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94%36.06%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.17%41.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.72%78.28%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 67.15%
    Chicago Fire 13.8%
    Draw 19.04%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.23%
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 7.11%
4-0 @ 4.43%
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.1%
5-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 9.01%
0-0 @ 4.75%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 19.04%
0-1 @ 4.14%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, April 30 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 10 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-3 Montreal
Saturday, March 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, April 23 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 17 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Chicago Fire
Saturday, April 9 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Dallas
Saturday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 3-1 Kansas
Saturday, March 19 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

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