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Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2022 at 9pm UK
Saputo Stadium
AU
Montreal
2 - 1
Atlanta
Miller (4'), Torres (81')
Camacho (10'), Wanyama (31'), Kone (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moreno (51')
Moreno (51'), Franco (54'), Ibarra (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Montreal vs. Austin
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Atlanta vs. Inter Miami
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-0 Atlanta United

Historically, Atlanta have never gone goalless in any MLS encounter against their Saturday adversaries, but without Martinez, they are not the same team, and we do not expect them to create a ton of opportunities against a side who have played a much stingier defensive game in recent weeks. It seems as though being eliminated from the CCL was a blessing in disguise for Montreal, who have settled into quite a groove, limiting the number of opportunities of their opponents while their best players have shown up when needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
42.36%25.54%32.1%
Both teams to score 54.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05%48.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97%71.03%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01%22.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22%56.78%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.58%
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 42.36%
    Atlanta United 32.1%
    Draw 25.54%
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Montreal
Saturday, April 23 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Vancouver
Saturday, April 16 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Montreal
Saturday, April 9 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-4 Montreal
Saturday, April 2 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-3 Montreal
Saturday, March 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 4-1 Montreal
Saturday, March 12 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, April 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 10 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-3 Montreal
Saturday, March 19 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 13 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

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