Major League Soccer

May 29, 2022 at 12am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 2
Columbus Crew

Dwyer (90+1')
Moreno (45+5'), Ibarra (45+10'), Franco (89'), Dwyer (90+3')
Almada (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mensah (1'), Hurtado (45')
Sands (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atlanta United 1-0 Columbus Crew

There is little reason to suspect that Columbus can find their scoring touch on recent evidence, and even a single strike could be enough to seal maximum points for the hosts on Saturday. Atlanta's attacking lineup can be formidable on their day, and even a spate of injuries will not deny them victory over an ailing opposition side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
59.68% ( 0.08)	22.11% ( -0.01)	18.21% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.5% (

-0.07)

46.5% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.23% (

-0.07)

68.77% (

0.07)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.82% (

15.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.2% (

43.8% (

-0)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

-0.12)

39.3% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99% (

-0.11)

76.01% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 59.67%

Columbus Crew 18.21%

Draw 22.1%

Atlanta United	Draw	Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.42% Total : 59.67%	1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.1%	0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.21%