Although both sides will be looking to return to winning ways this weekend as they continue to push for at least a top-seven finish, a tight affair could be on the cards here. Three of the four MLS meetings between Atlanta and Seattle have ended as a draw and with little to separate these two teams, they may be forced to share the spoils again at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Seattle Sounders
54.75% ( -0.74)	23.76% ( 0.31)	21.49% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 51.56% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.96% (

-0.75)

49.03% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.88% (

-0.68)

71.11% (

0.69)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21% (

-0.54)

17.79% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.5% (

-0.95)

48.5% (

0.95)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.72% (

0.01)

37.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.94% (

0.01)

74.06% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 54.74%

Seattle Sounders 21.49%

Draw 23.75%

Atlanta United	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.52% Total : 54.74%	1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.49%