We said: Atlanta United 1-1 Seattle Sounders
Although both sides will be looking to return to winning ways this weekend as they continue to push for at least a top-seven finish, a tight affair could be on the cards here.
Three of the four MLS meetings between Atlanta and Seattle have ended as a draw and with little to separate these two teams, they may be forced to share the spoils again at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.